The three core values
- Planned value (PV): baseline budget for work scheduled by the status date.
- Earned value (EV): baseline budget for work actually completed by the status date.
- Actual cost (AC): cost incurred for the completed work.
Basic measures
Schedule variance (SV) = EV − PV
Cost performance index (CPI) = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance index (SPI) = EV ÷ PV
A CPI below 1 indicates less budgeted value has been earned than the cost incurred. An SPI below 1 indicates less work has been earned than planned. These indicators need context: measurement rules, data timing and scope changes can affect interpretation.
Forecasting
A simple estimate at completion is BAC ÷ CPI when current cost efficiency is assumed to continue. Other formulas may reflect remaining work, schedule effects or a bottom-up reassessment. Compare formula-based forecasts with management judgment and remaining-risk analysis.
Use objective progress rules
Earned value becomes misleading when work is credited based on subjective optimism. Define milestones, weighted steps, units completed or other evidence before reporting.